主管：中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办：应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU
消防科学与技术

消防科学与技术 ›› 2024, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (7): 1022-1027.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

森林消防救援起降点选择影响因素分析

潘卫军1, 黄园晶1, 杨兆西2, 李滨希2   

  1. （1. 中国民用航空飞行学院，四川 广汉 618307；2. 应急管理部南方护林总站，四川 成都 610000）
  • 出版日期:2024-07-19 发布日期:2024-07-15
  • 作者简介:潘卫军(1968- )，男，湖北黄冈人，中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院教授，博士，主要从事空中交通管理、计算机仿真、通航应急救援等方面的研究，四川省广汉市南昌路四段46号，618307，panatc@sina.com。
  • 基金资助:
    基金项目：中央引导地方科技发展专项(2020ZYD094)；四川省科技计划项目（2021YFS0319）

Analysis of influencing factors of the landing points selection for forest fire rescue

Pan Weijun1, Huang Yuanjing1, Yang Zhaoxi2, Li Binxi2   

  1. (1. Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Sichuan Guanghan 618307, China; 2. Ministry of Emergency Management Southern General Station of Aerial Forest Protection, Sichuan Chengdu 610000, China)
  • Online:2024-07-19 Published:2024-07-15

摘要： 为提高森林消防救援效率，针对森林消防救援的起降点选择，提出了一种改进DEMATEL-ISM法，对其影响因素进行深入分析。首先基于扎根理论建立面向森林消防救援起降点选择的影响因素体系，然后引入模糊集理论消除DEMATEL-ISM法中专家评分的主观性，通过分析起降点选择的影响因素间因果属性和影响程度，确定关键因素，通过合理设置阈值构建多级递阶结构模型。通过案例分析，得到了影响森林消防救援的5个关键因素、3个根本因素、3个直接因素以及10个间接因素，并提出起降点选择的相关建议。该研究成果可以加快林火救援时起降点选择的决策速度，提高森林消防救援效率，为起降点的选择提供理论依据和科学参考。

关键词: 森林火灾, 消防救援, 直升机, 起降点, 影响因素, 扎根理论, 模糊集理论, 改进DEMATEL-ISM法

Abstract: In order to improve the efficiency of forest fire general aviation emergency rescue, an improved DEMATEL-ISM method was proposed to analyze the influencing factors of the selection of take-off and landing points. Firstly, based on grounded theory, a system of influencing factors for the selection of take-off and landing points for general aviation emergency rescue in forest fires is established. Then, fuzzy set theory is introduced to eliminate the subjectivity of expert rating in DEMATEL-ISM method. Based on the analysis of the causal attribute and the degree of influence among the influencing factors in the selection of forest fire take-off and landing points, five important factors, two fundamental factors,3 direct factors, and 10 indirect factors were determined, and relevant suggestions for the selection of take-off and landing points were put forward. The study results can speed up the decision speed of the selection of take-off and landing points for forest fires, and provide theoretical basis and scientific reference for improving the efficiency of forest fire general aviation emergency rescue.

Key words: forest fire, fire rescue, helicopter, take-off and landing points, influence foutor, grounded theory, fuzzy set theory, improved DEMATEL-ISM method