主管：中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办：应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU
消防科学与技术

消防科学与技术 ›› 2023, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (11): 1588-1592.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

基于二元logistic回归分析的火灾复核案件特点研究

赵晖   

  1. （天津市消防救援总队，天津 300090）
  • 出版日期:2023-11-15 发布日期:2023-11-15
  • 作者简介:赵 晖(1974- )，男，天津市人，天津市消防救援总队高级工程师，硕士，主要从事火灾调查和消防科技方面的研究，天津市南开区南马路708号，300090。

Binary logistic analysis of case features of fire cause review

Zhao Hui   

  1. (Tianjin Fire and Rescue Brigade, Tianjin 300090, China)
  • Online:2023-11-15 Published:2023-11-15

摘要： 基于某市2014-2021年归档的77起典型火灾事故复核案件，将相关要素内容进行数字化处理，对火灾事故复核案例相关要素进行二元logistic回归分析，筛选出导致火灾复核发生的独立影响因素。从火灾事故调查、复核申请和复核工作开展等3个方面，对各相关要素逐一进行了统计分析，并基于统计分析结论，提出了针对性的火灾事故调查工作建议。

关键词: 二元logistic回归, 火灾调查, 火灾事故复核, SPSS, 典型火灾案例

Abstract: Basing on 77 typical fire cause review in one city from the year of 2014 to 2021, related elements were digital processed. Digital processing elements were binary logistic analyzed to screen out independent factors of fire cause review. From three aspects including fire investigation, application for fire cause review and fire cause review, relating factors were statistical analyzed. On the basis of statistical analysis conclusion, suggestions were proposed for fire investigation.

Key words: binary logistic analysis, fire investigation, fire cause review, SPSS, typical fire case