主管:中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办:应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU

消防科学与技术 ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (11): 1622-1624.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

城市区域火灾风险评估方法综述

付小千   

  1. (中国人民警察大学,河北 廊坊065000)
  • 出版日期:2021-11-15 发布日期:2021-11-15
  • 作者简介:付小千(1996-),女,山东人,中国人民警察大学在读硕士,主要从事火灾风险评估及预测研究,河北省廊坊市安次区西昌路220号,065000。
  • 基金资助:
    基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFB2103502)

A review of fire risk assessment methods in urban areas

FU Xiao-qian   

  1. China People's Police University, Hebei Langfang 065000, China
  • Online:2021-11-15 Published:2021-11-15

摘要: 结合火灾风险评估的定义,对城市区域火灾风险评估的概念及发展概况做出明确说明。针对区域火灾风险评估问题,提出了将评估方法划分为基于指标的传统评估法和基于机器学习的现代评估法两大类,分别对两类方法的评估流程进行概括总结并根据评估流程对常用的传统评估方法进行分类归纳。结合目前区域火灾风险评估的国内外现状,对比总结了两类评估方法的特点和适用范围,并展望了未来的研究方向。

关键词: 区域火灾风险, 风险评估方法, 传统指标评估, 机器学习评估

Abstract: Combined with the definition of fire risk assessment, a clear explanation of the concept and development of urban area fire risk assessment is made. Aiming at the problem of regional fire risk assessment, it is proposed to divide the assessment methods into two categories: traditional assessment methods based on indicators and modern assessment methods based on machine learning. The evaluation process of two methods are summarized. According to the evaluation process, the common evaluation methods are classified and summarized. Combined with the current domestic and international status of regional fire risk assessment, this paper compares and summarizes the characteristics and scope of application of the two types of assessment methods, and proposes possible future development directions.

Key words: regional fire risk, risk evaluation method, traditional index evaluation, machine learning evaluation